Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.105183 0.124694 0.146534 0.172751 0.203326 0.237817 0.279631
2025-02-02 0.075627 0.100894 0.132368 0.174277 0.228418 0.295789 0.385742
2025-02-09 0.058111 0.085148 0.121786 0.174673 0.248596 0.347713 0.490031
2025-02-16 0.047254 0.074903 0.115095 0.177113 0.269566 0.401260 0.601732
2025-02-23 0.040593 0.068888 0.112589 0.183986 0.296410 0.464930 0.734333
2025-03-02 0.032990 0.059694 0.103340 0.178532 0.303060 0.498652 0.825592
2025-03-09 0.028127 0.053953 0.098384 0.178672 0.317776 0.545524 0.941519
2025-03-16 0.023813 0.048282 0.092473 0.175998 0.326949 0.583825 1.047073
2025-03-23 0.021265 0.045357 0.090827 0.180335 0.348357 0.644337 1.195755
2025-03-30 0.018413 0.041284 0.086362 0.178692 0.358531 0.686100 1.315812
2025-04-06 0.015756 0.037098 0.080979 0.174391 0.362943 0.717612 1.420218
2025-04-13 0.013400 0.033101 0.075318 0.168623 0.363571 0.741814 1.513058
2025-04-20 0.012147 0.031390 0.074253 0.172355 0.383999 0.806572 1.691410
2025-04-27 0.010933 0.029550 0.072633 0.174697 0.401919 0.868473 1.871027
2025-05-04 0.009758 0.027570 0.070376 0.175272 0.416084 0.924209 2.043878
2025-05-11 0.008853 0.026097 0.069055 0.177759 0.434663 0.990837 2.245645
2025-05-18 0.008296 0.025438 0.069587 0.184664 0.463986 1.083075 2.510259
2025-05-25 0.007179 0.023003 0.065293 0.179193 0.463904 1.111440 2.639843
2025-06-01 0.006466 0.021576 0.063360 0.179334 0.477133 1.170565 2.842794
2025-06-08 0.005724 0.019906 0.060502 0.176651 0.483072 1.213606 3.013486
2025-06-15 0.005332 0.019242 0.060304 0.181003 0.507148 1.301071 3.294441
2025-06-22 0.004775 0.017925 0.058034 0.179354 0.515572 1.352155 3.494712
2025-06-29 0.004202 0.016426 0.054979 0.175038 0.516409 1.384863 3.654016